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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1qinlaobanRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)63% (1095–632, n=1727)48% (539–574, n=1113)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$4.6M-$75K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #111was PM monthly #987PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus70% (85 of 121 open)71% (70 of 98 open)no open consensus position56% (38 of 68 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 500 at avg 50¢, ROI +49%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)0%10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)48% (won 99% of 238)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)52% (won 99% of 262)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)0%33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1qinlaobanRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859——Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446——Under $1.4K
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.2K——Under $26
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873——Yes $315
CD Unión La Calera vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.0K——Over $141
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471——No $524
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $981——Under $10
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837——Yes $60
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $209——Over $237
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272——No $11
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
76ers $17——Bulls $3
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16K——Yes $7.5K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $9.9K——No $6.0K
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.3K——Over $811
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.5K——Over $2.0K
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.8K——Over $318
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1K——No $1.3K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
76ers $1.1K——76ers $1.3K
Spread: 76ers (-10.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $1.8K——76ers $347
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.2K——Over $32
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $747——Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $442——Over $14
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1