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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1Pan9X
Record (consensus markets)52% (6565–6142, n=12707)63% (993–578, n=1571)65% (4350–2303, n=6653)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$4.8M$23K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #94was PM monthly #979
Sides with the consensus66% (192 of 291 open)71% (55 of 78 open)49% (44 of 90 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 1212 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 186)4% (won 100% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 267)13% (won 100% of 156)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 58% of 326)26% (won 100% of 310)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 619)58% (won 100% of 703)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1Pan9X
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $14K—Yes $67
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $81
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Shubladze vs Claire Liu
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
Claire Liu $1.2K—Alexandra Shubladze $20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471—No $111
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475—Under $60
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $361—Over $154
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Athletic Club $116
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $211—Over $6
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
Dolphins $172—Lions $29
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $161—Yes $33
Jeju SK FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $44—Under $73
Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $56—No $49
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Jan Kumstat
opposite sides · consensus Jan Kumstat
Yuta Shimizu $90—Jan Kumstat $12
Jeju SK FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $81—Under $19
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Knicks $10—Cavaliers $39
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $31—Yes $2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13K—Under $52
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $5.7K—No $64
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Under $105
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Yasmine Kabbaj
same side · consensus Anna Blinkova
Anna Blinkova $2.4K—Anna Blinkova $33
M15 Maanshan: Seongchan Hong vs Kristjan Tamm
same side · consensus Kristjan Tamm
Kristjan Tamm $1.5K—Kristjan Tamm $5
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.3K—No $6
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $489—No $247
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $694—No $24
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $613—Under $2