Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677l..messiRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)43% (10–13, n=23)57% (1110–846, n=1956)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$3.3M$84K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #8was PM monthly #787PM monthly #27 + pinned
Sides with the consensus69% (78 of 113 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)52% (33 of 64 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%63% of 1537 at avg 58¢, ROI +3%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)28% (won 12% of 436)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)10% (won 38% of 160)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)15% (won 75% of 225)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)47% (won 97% of 716)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677l..messiRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $4.0K——Lakers $84
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859——Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446——Under $1.4K
Spread: 76ers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
76ers $1.1K——Bulls $404
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873——Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471——No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837——Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272——No $11
Spread: Richmond Spiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Richmond Spiders
Temple Owls $78——Richmond Spiders $202
Knoxville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
opposite sides · consensus Geoffrey Blancaneaux
Shunsuke Mitsui $15——Geoffrey Blancaneaux $224
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $107——Under $116
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $4.8K——Coco Gauff $31K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $4.6K——Over $751
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.5K——Over $1.3K
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.1K——Over $318
Richmond Spiders vs. Temple Owls
same side · consensus Richmond Spiders
Richmond Spiders $2.8K——Richmond Spiders $593
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1K——No $1.6K
Spread: 76ers (-14.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
Bulls $1.8K——Bulls $25
Spread: 76ers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
Bulls $396——Bulls $410
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $747——Boluspor $44
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $612——Pistons $171
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $372——No $254
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1