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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | joseph00677 | RN1 | SAPolitcsSeer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) | 95% (92–5, n=97) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $5.6M | $14.8M | $95K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | PM monthly #557 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (219 of 325 open) | no open consensus position | 61% (140 of 230 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=40 |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 109 at avg 95¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 99% (won 98% of 108) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
49 on the same side, 36 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | RN1 | SAPolitcsSeer |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Over $1.5K | — |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | Eastern Michigan $343 | — | Central Michigan $12K | — |
| Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $10K | — | Over $462 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.4K | — | Over $2.4K | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Thunder $2.5K | — | Cavaliers $523 | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $317 | — | No $2.6K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $35 | — |
| Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.8K | — | Yes $9 | — |
| Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.5K | — | No $124 | — |
| Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 7.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.5K | — | Over $159 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-28.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Bulls $1.3K | — | Knicks $149 | — |
| Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.1K | — | Over $100 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.1K | — | Yes $7 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Knicks $991 | — | Bulls $64 | — |
| Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 237.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.0K | — | Over $10 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $486 | — | No $529 | — |
| Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $655 | — | Under $140 | — |
| Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $761 | — | Under $12 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Knicks $655 | — | Bulls $11 | — |
| Senators vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $91 | — | Over $535 | — |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $540 | — | Over $44 | — |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $311 | — | Over $255 | — |
| Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 244.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $471 | — | Over $73 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Pacers $381 | — | Grizzlies $118 | — |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $351 | — | Under $106 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Cavaliers $103 | — | Thunder $308 | — |
| Exact Score: São Paulo FC 0 - 0 SC Corinthians Paulista? opposite sides · consensus No | No $213 | — | Yes $189 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Grizzlies $221 | — | Pacers $155 | — |
| Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $209 | — | Over $90 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Lakers $27 | — | Kings $253 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Suns $124 | — | Trail Blazers $98 | — |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $123 | — | Over $86 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | Trail Blazers $22 | — | Suns $155 | — |
| Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $17 | — | Under $79 | — |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $93 | — | Over $2 | — |
| Spread: Hornets (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | Nets $52 | — | Hornets $35 | — |
| Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | — | Yes $3.0K | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Prado same side · consensus Juan Carlos Prado | Juan Carlos Prado $1.7K | — | Juan Carlos Prado $16K | — |
| São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $7.1K | — | Under $5.5K | — |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State same side · consensus Toledo | Sacramento State $131 | — | Sacramento State $7.4K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus 76ers | 76ers $5.2K | — | 76ers $240 | — |
| Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $4.9K | — | No $498 | — |
| São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | No $4.1K | — | No $594 | — |
| Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5) same side · consensus CA Mineiro | CA Mineiro $4.0K | — | CA Mineiro $85 | — |
| Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $1.8K | — | No $1.7K | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) same side · consensus Hawks | Hawks $1.4K | — | Hawks $957 | — |
| São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $873 | — | Over $1.0K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $5 | — | Over $1.5K | — |
| São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $695 | — | Under $754 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-12.5) same side · consensus Knicks | Knicks $1.0K | — | Knicks $356 | — |