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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpRN1sainttroplayzwaaan
Record (consensus markets)53% (5916–5289, n=11205)47% (13346–14851, n=28197)no settled market52% (117–107, n=224)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$14.8M—$501
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #23 + pinned—was PM monthly #257
Sides with the consensus71% (189 of 266 open)65% (30 of 46 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——Crypto −5 pts, n=58
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—53% of 126 at avg 52¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)—21% (won 4% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)—21% (won 19% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)—29% (won 75% of 36)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)—30% (won 89% of 38)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpRN1sainttroplayzwaaan
Rolex Paris Masters: Mattia Bellucci vs Arthur Rinderknech
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Rinderknech
Mattia Bellucci $830Arthur Rinderknech $22K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13KOver $943——
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme
opposite sides · consensus Robin Montgomery
Robin Montgomery $1.9KJeline Vandromme $6.6K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $940Over $2.9K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.0KYes $7——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6KOver $35——
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
opposite sides · consensus Deborah Chiesa
Sarah Van Emst $210Deborah Chiesa $1.2K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466No $529——
W75 Petange: Dalma Galfi vs Kira Pavlova
opposite sides · consensus Dalma Galfi
Kira Pavlova $7Dalma Galfi $285——
M25 Valencia: Carles Hernandez vs Marcel Zielinski
opposite sides · consensus Marcel Zielinski
Marcel Zielinski $136Carles Hernandez $26——
Buriram United leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $85Yes $62——
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $39KUnder $45——
Chennai Open: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Polina Kudermetova
same side · consensus Polina Kudermetova
Polina Kudermetova $16KPolina Kudermetova $5.3K——
Luanda: Suzan Lamens vs Kristina Kroitor
same side · consensus Kristina Kroitor
Suzan Lamens $1.3KSuzan Lamens $16K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14KNo $2.4K——
Bratislava 2: Vitaliy Sachko vs Otto Virtanen
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
Otto Virtanen $1.5KOtto Virtanen $10K——
Taranto: Felix Gill vs Marcus Walters
same side · consensus Felix Gill
Felix Gill $5.3KFelix Gill $5.3K——
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $6.3KNo $1.5K——
M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Sergio Planella Hernandez
same side · consensus Samuele Pieri
Samuele Pieri $2.0KSamuele Pieri $1.6K——
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $115No $3.3K——
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $44No $1.2K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $100Under $1.1K——
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $379No $662——
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $747Boluspor $44——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702Under $20——
M25 Valencia: Aren Baybars vs Leonid Sheyngezikht
same side · consensus Leonid Sheyngezikht
Leonid Sheyngezikht $125Leonid Sheyngezikht $388——
W50 Heraklion: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Elena Korokozidi
same side · consensus Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur $140Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur $251——
W35 Liberec: Lenka Munzarova vs Vittoria Paganetti
same side · consensus Vittoria Paganetti
Vittoria Paganetti $56Vittoria Paganetti $312——
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari
same side · consensus Maria Sakkari
Maria Sakkari $175Maria Sakkari $136——
W50 Heraklion: Eliska Tichackova vs Alessandra Mazzola
same side · consensus Eliska Tichackova
Eliska Tichackova $215Eliska Tichackova $96——
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $239Under $46——
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $117Yes $162——
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1——