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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| Flaznorp | RN1 | TMingchan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6585–6162, n=12747) | 48% (14355–15860, n=30215) | 55% (24–20, n=44) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.7M | $14.8M | $2.0K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #27 + pinned | was PM monthly #552 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (181 of 259 open) | 55% (26 of 47 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 17 at avg 49¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) | 47% (won 100% of 8) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) | 53% (won 100% of 9) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
20 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | RN1 | TMingchan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | Over $1.7K | — |
| FC Tōkyō vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $11K | Over $40 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $541 | No $5.4K | — |
| Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | Yes $12 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $613 | Over $3.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | Yes $7 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | Over $36 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $475 | Under $1.3K | — |
| FC Tōkyō vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.5K | Under $83 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $471 | No $524 | — |
| Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $593 | Yes $2 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $272 | No $11 | — |
| FC Tōkyō vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $32K | Under $11K | — |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Shubladze vs Claire Liu same side · consensus Claire Liu | Claire Liu $23K | Claire Liu $18K | — |
| Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $11K | No $11K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | No $2.6K | — |
| Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | Bianca Andreescu $4.3K | Bianca Andreescu $8.3K | — |
| Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $4.2K | No $1.3K | — |
| Will Ningbo Professional FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $2.9K | No $1.2K | — |
| Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $3.4K | Under $43 | — |
| Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Yosuke Watanuki same side · consensus Yosuke Watanuki | Yosuke Watanuki $678 | Yosuke Watanuki $2.3K | — |
| Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $2.4K | No $21 | — |
| Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $931 | No $1.4K | — |
| Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | No $2.0K | No $144 | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $104 | Under $1.1K | — |
| Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $505 | Under $418 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $702 | Under $20 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $173 | Yes $240 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $177 | Under $41 | — |
| Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $62 | Under $40 | — |