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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | TMingchan | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6569–6087, n=12656) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 47% (14161–15670, n=29831) | 56% (19–15, n=34) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.6M | $3.6M | $14.8M | $4.2K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #32 + pinned | was PM monthly #552 |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (102 of 133 open) | 73% (53 of 73 open) | 52% (16 of 31 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 17 at avg 49¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 47% (won 100% of 8) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 53% (won 100% of 9) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | TMingchan |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Over $1.6K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.4K | — | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $586 | — | Over $3.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $476 | — | Under $1.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $466 | — | No $529 | — |
| W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz | Diletta Cherubini $281 | — | Ipek Oz $698 | — |
| W35 Hamamatsu: Kanon Sawashiro vs Mio Mushika opposite sides · consensus Kanon Sawashiro | Mio Mushika $2 | — | Kanon Sawashiro $48 | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $2.5K | — |
| Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot same side · consensus Harold Mayot | Harold Mayot $1.3K | — | Harold Mayot $3.9K | — |
| Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.8K | — | Under $338 | — |
| W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Xinxin Yao same side · consensus Katie Swan | Katie Swan $851 | — | Katie Swan $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | Under $20 | — |
| W100 Incheon: Han Shi vs Berfu Cengiz same side · consensus Han Shi | Han Shi $329 | — | Han Shi $156 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | Yes $139 | — | Yes $192 | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-8.5) same side · consensus Heat | Warriors $170 | — | Warriors $87 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $176 | — | Under $42 | — |