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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | RN1 | SAPolitcsSeer | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6492–5998, n=12490) | 47% (14055–15545, n=29600) | 93% (106–8, n=114) | 50% (20828–20526, n=41354) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $14.8M | $117K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | PM monthly #565 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (187 of 259 open) | 56% (19 of 34 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 67% (41 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=40 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 109 at avg 95¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 0% | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 0% | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 99% (won 98% of 108) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
19 on the same side, 29 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | RN1 | SAPolitcsSeer | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $14K | Over $1.5K | — | Under $22K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.4K | Yes $1.9K | — | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $9 | Over $1.5K | — | Under $5.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.1K | Over $2.7K | — | Under $2.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | Yes $7 | — | No $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | Over $36 | — | Under $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $476 | Under $1.3K | — | Under $64 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $831 | Yes $61 | — | No $172 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $702 | Under $20 | — | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | — | Athletic Club $345 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $116 | Yes $161 | — | No $289 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $7 | Over $28 | — | Under $12 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | No $2.5K | — | No $3.1K |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | Boluspor $751 | Boluspor $44 | — | Boluspor $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $102 | Under $1.1K | — | Under $945 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $174 | Under $42 | — | Under $791 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.6K | — | — | No $15K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $360 | — | Under $7.6K |
| Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | — | Yes $757 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | — | Athletic Club $226 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $422 | — | — | Under $768 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | No $754 | Yes $375 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $466 | No $529 | — | — |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $705 | — | Yes $140 |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana opposite sides · consensus Sorana Cirstea | Sorana Cirstea $273 | Mary Stoiana $561 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | No $548 | — | — | Yes $172 |
| Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $280 | — | — | Yes $6 |
| M25 Heraklion: Robert Guna vs Robin Bertrand opposite sides · consensus Robin Bertrand | Robert Guna $83 | Robin Bertrand $172 | — | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $14 | Under $181 | — | — |
| FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $103 | — | — | Over $54 |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $125 | — | — | Yes $3 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $109 | — | — | Yes $2 |
| Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig opposite sides · consensus Matej Dodig | Matej Dodig $8 | Tom Gentzsch $52 | — | — |
| Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Chun-Chien Hou same side · consensus Coleman Wong | Coleman Wong $4.7K | Coleman Wong $10K | — | — |
| Taranto: Adrian Andreev vs Matteo Martineau same side · consensus Matteo Martineau | Matteo Martineau $1.0K | Matteo Martineau $2.4K | — | — |
| W75 Petange: Lisa Zaar vs Lea Nilsson same side · consensus Lisa Zaar | Lisa Zaar $30 | Lisa Zaar $3.2K | — | — |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | No $1.6K | — | — | No $1.1K |
| Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | — | No $104 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.0K | — | — | Yes $154 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $411 | — | — | Under $677 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $1.0K | — | — | Over $7 |
| Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $746 | — | — | Yes $270 |
| W75 Petange: Jessika Ponchet vs Veronika Podrez same side · consensus Veronika Podrez | Veronika Podrez $39 | Veronika Podrez $263 | — | — |
| Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23? same side · consensus No | No $206 | — | — | No $42 |
| Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 1 - 0 FK Polissia? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $135 | — | — | Yes $95 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 0 - 2 Boluspor? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $102 | — | — | Yes $79 |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) same side · consensus CD Pamplona | CD Pamplona $127 | — | — | CD Pamplona $6 |
| Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $6 | — | — | No $60 |