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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpLlamaLoco0000nigiri99
Record (consensus markets)71% (2657–1095, n=3752)no settled market53% (472–417, n=889)
Consensus PnL$502K—$399K
Tracked asPM monthly #8was PM monthly #568PM monthly #75
Sides with the consensus53% (66 of 125 open)0% (0 of 2 open)40% (32 of 80 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=564——
Settled positions, side won42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%—74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢42% (won 5% of 495)—12% (won 40% of 83)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 39% of 266)—23% (won 65% of 158)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 134)—44% (won 77% of 300)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 94% of 296)—20% (won 99% of 135)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpLlamaLoco0000nigiri99
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
Arizona $23—Utah $14K
Kobe: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Nitin Kumar Sinha
opposite sides · consensus Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine $4.7K—Nitin Kumar Sinha $182
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
Ole Miss $260—Oklahoma $512
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flames
Kings $44—Flames $156
Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2—Over $85
Spread: Sharks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sharks
Utah $50—Sharks $22
UFC 334: Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui (Middleweight, Main Card)
same side · consensus Caio Borralho
Caio Borralho $523—Caio Borralho $24K
Flames vs. Kings
same side · consensus Kings
Flames $233—Flames $6.8K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
Texas Tech $738—Texas Tech $5.0K
Flames vs. Kings: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $28—Over $372
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)
same side · consensus Islanders
Islanders $34—Islanders $271
Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks
same side · consensus Montana Grizzlies
Montana Grizzlies $20—Montana Grizzlies $210
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos
same side · consensus Santa Clara Broncos
New Mexico Lobos $24—New Mexico Lobos $182
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49—Colts $3