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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | LlamaLoco0000 | MD14 | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (2750–1138, n=3888) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 84% (26–5, n=31) | 53% (498–446, n=944) |
| Consensus PnL | $518K | $18K | $341K | $664K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #8 | was PM monthly #568 | PM monthly #108 | PM monthly #75 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (62 of 120 open) | 0% (0 of 15 open) | no open consensus position | 36% (27 of 74 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=564 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3% | — | 90% of 29 at avg 72¢, ROI +20% | 74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 42% (won 5% of 495) | — | 3% (won 0% of 1) | 12% (won 40% of 83) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 39% of 266) | — | 10% (won 100% of 3) | 23% (won 65% of 158) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 64% of 134) | — | 21% (won 83% of 6) | 44% (won 77% of 300) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 94% of 296) | — | 66% (won 95% of 19) | 20% (won 99% of 135) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | LlamaLoco0000 | MD14 | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Arizona | Arizona $30 | — | — | Utah $15K |
| Kobe: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Nitin Kumar Sinha opposite sides · consensus Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine $4.7K | — | — | Nitin Kumar Sinha $49 |
| Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | Ole Miss $267 | — | — | Oklahoma $507 |
| Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $7 | — | — | Over $221 |
| Spread: Kings (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Flames | Kings $37 | — | — | Flames $156 |
| Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2 | — | — | Over $71 |
| Spread: Sharks (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Sharks | Utah $50 | — | — | Sharks $22 |
| Flames vs. Kings same side · consensus Kings | Flames $225 | — | — | Flames $10K |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Texas Tech | Texas Tech $779 | — | — | Texas Tech $5.9K |
| New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos same side · consensus Santa Clara Broncos | New Mexico Lobos $165 | — | — | New Mexico Lobos $525 |
| Spread: Islanders (-1.5) same side · consensus Islanders | Islanders $32 | — | — | Islanders $368 |
| Flames vs. Kings: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $28 | — | — | Over $319 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $49 | — | — | Colts $3 |