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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188FlaznorpLlamaLoco0000nigiri99
Record (consensus markets)62% (13–8, n=21)71% (2750–1138, n=3888)100% (1–0, n=1)53% (498–446, n=944)
Consensus PnL$1.0M$518K$18K$664K
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #8was PM monthly #568PM monthly #75
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)50% (58 of 117 open)0% (0 of 15 open)41% (28 of 68 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=564——
Settled positions, side won100% of 13 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%—74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢0%42% (won 5% of 495)—12% (won 40% of 83)
Entries 30–50¢46% (won 100% of 6)22% (won 39% of 266)—23% (won 65% of 158)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 100% of 7)11% (won 64% of 134)—44% (won 77% of 300)
Entries 70¢ and up0%25% (won 94% of 296)—20% (won 99% of 135)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188FlaznorpLlamaLoco0000nigiri99
Flames vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $2.5KFlames $225—Flames $10K
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
—Arizona $30—Utah $15K
Kobe: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Nitin Kumar Sinha
opposite sides · consensus Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
—Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine $4.7K—Nitin Kumar Sinha $49
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
—Ole Miss $267—Oklahoma $507
Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $221
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flames
—Kings $37—Flames $156
Spread: Sharks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sharks
—Utah $50—Sharks $22
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $779—Texas Tech $5.9K
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos
same side · consensus Santa Clara Broncos
—New Mexico Lobos $122—New Mexico Lobos $616
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)
same side · consensus Islanders
—Islanders $32—Islanders $368
Flames vs. Kings: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $28—Over $319
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49—Colts $3