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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpJudgeLanceprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6493–6083, n=12576)67% (33–16, n=49)50% (1120–1127, n=2247)47% (14272–15777, n=30049)
Consensus PnL$3.7M-$36K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #497PM monthly #50PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus69% (218 of 317 open)no open consensus position61% (11 of 18 open)46% (30 of 65 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NBA −16 pts, n=13——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%60% of 68 at avg 60¢, ROI +3%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)1% (won 0% of 1)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 50% of 4)41% (won 99% of 418)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)71% (won 54% of 48)49% (won 99% of 504)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)22% (won 87% of 15)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

26 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpJudgeLanceprimmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
Spread: Arizona (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus TCU
——TCU $7.6KArizona $621
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613——Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.8K——Over $234
Spread: Arizona (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus TCU
——TCU $2.0KArizona $788
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Spread: Arizona (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus TCU
——TCU $537Arizona $2.0K
Spread: Arizona (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
——TCU $1.4KArizona $1.1K
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Spurs $2.1K——Kings $220
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.0K——Over $174
Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.2K——Under $6
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Spurs $2.0K——Kings $105
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Spurs $1.9K——Kings $100
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475——Under $1.3K
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Spurs $1.7K——Kings $14
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Spurs $1.4K——Kings $133
Spread: Arizona (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
——TCU $521Arizona $848
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $217——Over $932
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471——No $524
Spread: Sagan Tosu (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kataller Toyama
Sagan Tosu $319——Kataller Toyama $38
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272——No $11
Will Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Tōkyō Verdy end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $204——Yes $71
Spread: Colorado State Rams (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colorado State Rams
Idaho Vandals $131——Colorado State Rams $105
Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Tōkyō Verdy
Shimizu S-Pulse $98——Tōkyō Verdy $105
FC Tōkyō vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $22K——Under $7.7K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.6K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $4.2K——Bianca Andreescu $8.5K
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $5.8K——Under $6.7K
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $6.4K——No $5.8K
Will Sagan Tosu win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $5.4K——No $6.1K
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $5.7K——No $5.4K
Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
Yes $6.5K——Yes $3.4K
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $3.0K——Under $6
Will Iwaki FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $2.7K——No $5
Spread: Arizona (-8.5)
same side · consensus Arizona
——TCU $495TCU $1.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Spread: Spurs (-33.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Kings $1.7K——Kings $15
TCU vs. Arizona: O/U 43.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $332Over $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $104——Under $1.1K
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $903——No $267
Will Yokohama FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $337——No $629
Ōita Trinita leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $60——Yes $761
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Will Albirex Niigata win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $539——No $102
Will Kataller Toyama win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $306——No $115
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173——Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
M15 Maanshan: Seongchan Hong vs Kristjan Tamm
same side · consensus Kristjan Tamm
Kristjan Tamm $66——Kristjan Tamm $154