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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpJ-E-Rjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6585–6162, n=12747)44% (164–208, n=372)45% (10–12, n=22)48% (14355–15860, n=30215)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$42K$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #13was PM monthly #418PM monthly #2PM monthly #27 + pinned
Sides with the consensus70% (181 of 258 open)89% (64 of 72 open)no open consensus position54% (26 of 48 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +3 pts n=21, ROI −1%
  • F1 +4 pts n=53, ROI +4%
  • Politics +2 pts n=33, ROI +2%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22Elections −1 pts, n=78——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%28% of 377 at avg 27¢, ROI 0%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)70% (won 4% of 263)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)4% (won 53% of 15)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)6% (won 70% of 23)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)20% (won 92% of 76)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpJ-E-Rjoseph00677RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
FC Tōkyō vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $11K——Over $240
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $541——No $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613——Over $3.3K
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $16
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Avispa Fukuoka vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.5K——Over $407
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475——Under $1.3K
FC Tōkyō vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.5K——Under $83
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471——No $524
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $544——Yes $2
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272——No $11
FC Tōkyō vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $32K——Under $11K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Shubladze vs Claire Liu
same side · consensus Claire Liu
Claire Liu $20K——Claire Liu $18K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.6K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $4.3K——Bianca Andreescu $8.3K
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $6.4K——No $5.6K
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $3.1K——No $1.3K
Will Ningbo Professional FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $2.8K——No $1.2K
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.8K——Under $43
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.3K——Under $496
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Yosuke Watanuki
same side · consensus Coleman Wong
Yosuke Watanuki $18——Yosuke Watanuki $2.3K
Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $871——No $1.4K
M15 Maanshan: Seongchan Hong vs Kristjan Tamm
same side · consensus Kristjan Tamm
Kristjan Tamm $1.4K——Kristjan Tamm $448
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $1.5K——No $21
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $104——Under $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173——Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177——Under $41
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $152——Under $40