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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHRAImail-.-ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (5916–5289, n=11205)no settled market65% (885–467, n=1352)47% (13346–14851, n=28197)
Consensus PnL$3.3M—$4.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #476PM monthly #21PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus71% (183 of 257 open)no open consensus position80% (28 of 35 open)69% (29 of 42 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%90% of 10 at avg 86¢, ROI +8%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 16% of 160)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)0%20% (won 40% of 253)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)0%24% (won 57% of 310)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)90% (won 100% of 9)43% (won 93% of 544)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

23 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHRAImail-.-ndb1RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $943
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $940——Over $2.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.0K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $35
Luanda: Wozuko Mdlulwa vs Noma Noha Akugue
opposite sides · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
Noma Noha Akugue $1.7K——Wozuko Mdlulwa $8
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
opposite sides · consensus Deborah Chiesa
Sarah Van Emst $234——Deborah Chiesa $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466——No $529
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $39K——Under $45
Chennai Open: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Polina Kudermetova
same side · consensus Polina Kudermetova
Polina Kudermetova $16K——Polina Kudermetova $5.5K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.4K
Taranto: Felix Gill vs Marcus Walters
same side · consensus Felix Gill
Felix Gill $4.6K——Felix Gill $3.7K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $6.3K——No $1.5K
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $115——No $3.3K
Bratislava 2: Vitaliy Sachko vs Otto Virtanen
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
Otto Virtanen $300——Otto Virtanen $2.9K
Will Buriram United win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.2K——Yes $483
M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Sergio Planella Hernandez
same side · consensus Samuele Pieri
Samuele Pieri $1.2K——Samuele Pieri $1.3K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $44——No $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $100——Under $1.1K
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme
same side · consensus Robin Montgomery
Robin Montgomery $809——Robin Montgomery $329
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $379——No $662
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $747——Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
M25 Valencia: Aren Baybars vs Leonid Sheyngezikht
same side · consensus Leonid Sheyngezikht
Leonid Sheyngezikht $137——Leonid Sheyngezikht $373
W35 Liberec: Lenka Munzarova vs Vittoria Paganetti
same side · consensus Vittoria Paganetti
Vittoria Paganetti $73——Vittoria Paganetti $366
W50 Heraklion: Eliska Tichackova vs Alessandra Mazzola
same side · consensus Eliska Tichackova
Eliska Tichackova $214——Eliska Tichackova $109
M25 Heraklion: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Michael Wright
same side · consensus Jeremy Gschwendtner
Jeremy Gschwendtner $112——Jeremy Gschwendtner $204
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $239——Under $46
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $117——Yes $162
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari
same side · consensus Maria Sakkari
Maria Sakkari $18——Maria Sakkari $87