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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Ezmoneyfornowfantasy7788HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)50% (15–15, n=30)55% (12–10, n=22)54% (361–305, n=666)46% (387–447, n=834)
Consensus PnL$20K$576K$444K$509K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #952PM monthly #34PM monthly #6PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position76% (126 of 166 open)51% (28 of 55 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won89% of 18 at avg 44¢, ROI +36%100% of 11 at avg 48¢, ROI +54%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 280 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%
Entries under 30¢0%9% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 100% of 17)
Entries 30–50¢78% (won 93% of 14)45% (won 100% of 5)32% (won 100% of 62)38% (won 100% of 105)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 75% of 4)36% (won 100% of 4)59% (won 100% of 115)49% (won 100% of 137)
Entries 70¢ and up0%9% (won 100% of 1)8% (won 100% of 15)8% (won 100% of 21)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketEzmoneyfornowfantasy7788HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
——Knicks $5.1KPacers $20K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $7.4KOver $11K
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
——Hawks $4.4KBulls $13K
Rangers vs. Canucks
opposite sides · consensus Rangers
——Rangers $2.3KCanucks $11K
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $13KOver $367
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $6.6KUnder $5.3K
Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.9KUnder $2.8K
Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.5KUnder $3.4K
Anadolu Efes vs. Virtus Bologna
opposite sides · consensus Anadolu Efes
——Anadolu Efes $3.6KVirtus Bologna $717
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $400Under $1.6K
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
——Knicks $6Knicks $26K
Cavaliers vs. Heat: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $5.1KOver $4.7K
Florida State vs. Pittsburgh
same side · consensus Pittsburgh
——Florida State $3.0KFlorida State $2.7K
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
——Pelicans $2.1KPelicans $3.4K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $6Over $4.8K
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
——Knicks $4.1KKnicks $397
Florida State vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.4KOver $789
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $115Spurs $460