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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Ethanael02joseph00677primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)65% (119–63, n=182)43% (10–13, n=23)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$11K$3.3M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #511PM monthly #8PM monthly #53PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position52% (15 of 29 open)58% (88 of 152 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +23 pts n=38, ROI +26%
  • NBA +27 pts n=15, ROI +22%
  • Soccer +20 pts n=36, ROI +12%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won94% of 101 at avg 74¢, ROI +20%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 86% of 7)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 91% of 35)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 97% of 59)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketEthanael02joseph00677primmRN1
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
——Panthers $6.6KBroncos $44K
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
——Commanders $285Rams $17K
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $133Rams $15K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $6.8KUnder $4.5K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
——Eagles $131Giants $8.8K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $6.8KOver $1.4K
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $745Rams $5.4K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.9KUnder $2.0K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.3KOver $1.9K
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
——Colts $94Cowboys $5.0K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.6KOver $142
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $97Over $4.4K
Spread: Saints (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $958Browns $2.8K
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $50Browns $3.5K
Giants vs. Eagles
same side · consensus Eagles
——Eagles $5.6KEagles $11K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $5.3KUnder $7.7K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
same side · consensus Giants
——Eagles $3.4KEagles $215
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KUnder $1.3K
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
same side · consensus Browns
——Saints $16Saints $1.4K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $924Over $310
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9Over $14