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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DegenKingBetterFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)64% (87–50, n=137)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL$153K$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #485PM monthly #21PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)63% (130 of 206 open)60% (74 of 123 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +24 pts n=33, ROI +17%
  • MLB +14 pts n=66, ROI +16%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won68% of 130 at avg 55¢, ROI +13%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 0% of 6)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 67% of 27)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢72% (won 72% of 93)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 100% of 4)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDegenKingBetterFlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4KOver $2.4K
Will LD Alajuelense win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.2KNo $191
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $301No $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $35
Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Jazz $2.3KPelicans $280
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $274Under $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486No $529
Escorpiones de Belén vs. LD Alajuelense: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $592Over $297
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Nuggets $623Raptors $130
Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $100Over $351
Escorpiones de Belén vs. LD Alajuelense: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $386Over $18
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $208Under $169
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $8Clippers $268
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Trail Blazers $205Suns $6
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $40Trail Blazers $99
Will Escorpiones de Belén vs. LD Alajuelense end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $15No $6
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
—Quentin Halys $844Quentin Halys $1.2K
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $1.4KSpurs $183
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5Over $1.5K
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Lakers $1.4KLakers $3
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $42No $1.3K
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $1.1KTimberwolves $130
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $101Under $1.1K
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Lakers $1.1KLakers $17
Spread: Rockets (-11.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $792Timberwolves $159
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $720Under $20
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $401Under $151
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $469Over $29
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $211Raptors $275
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $239Under $46
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $70Suns $160
Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $55Over $126
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $10Yes $162
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51Over $28