Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
D7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0Flaznorpnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2657–1095, n=3752)53% (472–417, n=889)
Consensus PnL—$502K$399K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #671PM monthly #8PM monthly #75
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position53% (66 of 125 open)40% (32 of 80 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=564—
Settled positions, side won—42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢—42% (won 5% of 495)12% (won 40% of 83)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 39% of 266)23% (won 65% of 158)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 134)44% (won 77% of 300)
Entries 70¢ and up—25% (won 94% of 296)20% (won 99% of 135)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketD7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0Flaznorpnigiri99
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
—Arizona $23Utah $14K
Kobe: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Nitin Kumar Sinha
opposite sides · consensus Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
—Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine $4.7KNitin Kumar Sinha $182
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
—Ole Miss $260Oklahoma $512
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flames
—Kings $44Flames $156
Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2Over $85
Spread: Sharks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sharks
—Utah $50Sharks $22
UFC 334: Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui (Middleweight, Main Card)
same side · consensus Caio Borralho
—Caio Borralho $523Caio Borralho $24K
Flames vs. Kings
same side · consensus Kings
—Flames $233Flames $6.8K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $738Texas Tech $5.0K
Flames vs. Kings: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $28Over $372
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)
same side · consensus Islanders
—Islanders $34Islanders $271
Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks
same side · consensus Montana Grizzlies
—Montana Grizzlies $20Montana Grizzlies $210
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos
same side · consensus Santa Clara Broncos
—New Mexico Lobos $24New Mexico Lobos $149
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $3