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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
D7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0Flaznorpnigiri99Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2750–1138, n=3888)53% (498–446, n=944)55% (12–10, n=22)
Consensus PnL—$518K$664K$91K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #671PM monthly #8PM monthly #75was PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (58 of 117 open)41% (28 of 68 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=564——
Settled positions, side won—42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8%92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢—42% (won 5% of 495)12% (won 40% of 83)8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 39% of 266)23% (won 65% of 158)58% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 134)44% (won 77% of 300)33% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up—25% (won 94% of 296)20% (won 99% of 135)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketD7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0Flaznorpnigiri99Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
—Arizona $30Utah $15K—
Kobe: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Nitin Kumar Sinha
opposite sides · consensus Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
—Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine $4.7KNitin Kumar Sinha $49—
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
—Ole Miss $267Oklahoma $507—
Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7Over $221—
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flames
—Kings $37Flames $156—
Spread: Sharks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sharks
—Utah $50Sharks $22—
Flames vs. Kings
same side · consensus Kings
—Flames $225Flames $10K—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $779Texas Tech $5.9K—
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos
same side · consensus Santa Clara Broncos
—New Mexico Lobos $169New Mexico Lobos $616—
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)
same side · consensus Islanders
—Islanders $32Islanders $368—
Flames vs. Kings: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $28Over $319—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $3—