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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
D7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0fantasy7788Flaznorpnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market58% (21–15, n=36)71% (2750–1138, n=3888)53% (498–446, n=944)
Consensus PnL—$886K$518K$664K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #671PM monthly #19PM monthly #8PM monthly #75
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position50% (60 of 119 open)41% (28 of 69 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Soccer −1 pts, n=564—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 22 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 100% of 1)42% (won 5% of 495)12% (won 40% of 83)
Entries 30–50¢—59% (won 100% of 13)22% (won 39% of 266)23% (won 65% of 158)
Entries 50–70¢—32% (won 100% of 7)11% (won 64% of 134)44% (won 77% of 300)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 1)25% (won 94% of 296)20% (won 99% of 135)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketD7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0fantasy7788Flaznorpnigiri99
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
——Arizona $30Utah $15K
Kobe: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Nitin Kumar Sinha
opposite sides · consensus Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
——Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine $4.7KNitin Kumar Sinha $49
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
——Ole Miss $267Oklahoma $507
Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $7Over $221
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flames
——Kings $37Flames $156
Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2Over $71
Spread: Sharks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sharks
——Utah $50Sharks $22
Flames vs. Kings
same side · consensus Kings
——Flames $225Flames $10K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
——Texas Tech $779Texas Tech $5.9K
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos
same side · consensus Santa Clara Broncos
——New Mexico Lobos $201New Mexico Lobos $616
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)
same side · consensus Islanders
——Islanders $32Islanders $368
Flames vs. Kings: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $28Over $319
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
——Colts $49Colts $3