Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorpojg
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)56% (741–582, n=1323)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M$4.1M$62K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #16was PM monthly #998
Sides with the consensus83% (29 of 35 open)69% (24 of 35 open)74% (91 of 123 open)83% (5 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)—
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)—
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorpojg
Penguins vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Ducks
—Ducks $34KPenguins $14Ducks $63
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $91KCoco Gauff $17KCoco Gauff $4.6K
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Nets $22KMavericks $2.5K—
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $23KClippers $567—
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Kings $4.5KHeat $1.7K—
Pelicans vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
——Pelicans $3.8KClippers $1.3K
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Nets $943Mavericks $2.2K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $148Yes $2.7K—
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $96Buccaneers $26——
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
—Patrick Zahraj $65KPatrick Zahraj $5.9K—
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $12KBears $27K——
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $28KCeltics $2.4K—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Bilibili Gaming $20KBilibili Gaming $273—
Celtics vs. Bucks
same side · consensus Celtics
——Celtics $14KCeltics $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13K—
Heat vs. Kings
same side · consensus Heat
——Heat $9.9KHeat $2.1K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.3KUnder $802——