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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpNM-P
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)35% (3641–6652, n=10293)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)83% (5379–1108, n=6487)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.0M$3.5M$47K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #735PM monthly #21PM monthly #504
Sides with the consensus81% (22 of 27 open)61% (19 of 31 open)75% (184 of 245 open)69% (87 of 127 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)—29% (won 11% of 465)6% (won 100% of 256)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)—16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 100% of 859)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)—16% (won 62% of 260)22% (won 100% of 884)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)—39% (won 94% of 637)51% (won 100% of 2087)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

42 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpNM-P
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
—Jan-Lennard Struff $12KCasper Ruud $43KJan-Lennard Struff $314
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.3KOver $447Over $186
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $384Under $13KUnder $674
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
—Bayer 04 Leverkusen $30KOlympique de Marseille $6.8K—
Will SC União Torreense win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $34KNo $420
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $11KUnder $3
Spread: James Madison (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
—James Madison $8.4K—Southern Miss $193
Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.0KUnder $14—
Spread: FC Lugano (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Lugano
—FK Kauno Žalgiris $69FC Lugano $2.1K—
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.8KYes $249
Will FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.0KYes $1
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $25
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $937Yes $46
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $299—Warriors $488
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $621No $144
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame
——Miami (FL) $391Notre Dame $355
Spread: FC Twente (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Páfos FC
—FC Twente $234Páfos FC $424—
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $553No $44
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
——Cardinals $170Seahawks $403
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
——Broncos $300Panthers $154
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3—Under $170
FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $4Over $166
Exact Score: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2 - 0 Olympique de Marseille?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3No $154
Exact Score: AZ 0 - 3 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $14No $21
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $47KNo $7.9K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $49KNo $5.7K
Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $14KBianca Andreescu $3.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.2KUnder $13K—
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $13KNo $1.4K
AS Monaco FC vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $982Under $13K—
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $10KNo $1.8K
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $10KNo $877
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.6KUnder $5.0K—
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $6.6KNo $1.2K
Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Valerio Aboian
same side · consensus Federico Coria
—Federico Coria $6.2KFederico Coria $85—
Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.4KNo $1.9K
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.0KNo $653
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.2KNo $375
Will AS Monaco FC vs. FC Nordsjælland end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $3.0KNo $1.5K
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.6KNo $1.6K
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.6KNo $766
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.9KNo $562
Will FC Twente vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.9KNo $77
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.8KNo $181
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.4KNo $489
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.6KYes $294
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.6KNo $20
Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.5KNo $91
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.5KNo $68
Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $403No $892