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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | dcastro222 | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 52% (6520–6024, n=12544) | 47% (14133–15621, n=29754) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $15K | $3.5M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #997 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (24 of 28 open) | no open consensus position | 69% (232 of 338 open) | 65% (35 of 54 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 1 at avg 43¢, ROI +57% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 0% | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 100% (won 100% of 1) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 0% | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 0% | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
20 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | dcastro222 | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.4K | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $586 | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| W35 Orlando, FL: Lavinia Tanasie vs Whitney Osuigwe opposite sides · consensus Whitney Osuigwe | — | — | Whitney Osuigwe $1.8K | Lavinia Tanasie $5 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $476 | Under $1.3K |
| Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg | — | — | Daniel Milavsky $555 | Max Hans Rehberg $834 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $466 | No $529 |
| W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen | — | — | Greet Minnen $672 | Lisa Pigato $142 |
| M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov | — | — | Julio Cesar Porras $23 | Ivan Gakhov $225 |
| W50 Huamantla: Jo-Yee Chan vs Cadence Brace opposite sides · consensus Cadence Brace | — | — | Cadence Brace $59 | Jo-Yee Chan $36 |
| Villa Maria: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Murkel Dellien opposite sides · consensus Juan Pablo Ficovich | — | — | Murkel Dellien $34 | Juan Pablo Ficovich $37 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $7 | Over $29 |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $16K | Yes $11K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $2.5K |
| PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $7.2K | Under $8.9K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Ignacio Buse same side · consensus Nuno Borges | — | — | Nuno Borges $6.0K | Nuno Borges $8.6K |
| Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.6K | Yes $10K |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $5.0K | Under $2.4K |
| Will NEC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.5K | No $4.3K |
| Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs same side · consensus GenOne | — | — | GenOne $2 | GenOne $5.1K |
| Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres | — | — | Juan Bautista Torres $349 | Juan Bautista Torres $4.2K |
| Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $1.4K | No $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $9 | Over $1.5K |
| Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua same side · consensus Renata Zarazua | — | — | Renata Zarazua $327 | Renata Zarazua $602 |
| Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $714 | Under $49 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $702 | Under $20 |
| K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $33 | Over $675 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $138 | Yes $192 |
| Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | — | No $123 | No $141 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $176 | Under $42 |
| Will Qairat FK win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $145 | Yes $36 |