Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankbtnaomnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)66% (43–22, n=65)50% (15994–16023, n=32017)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$54K$2.9M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #550PM monthly #177PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)70% (7 of 10 open)52% (92 of 178 open)61% (51 of 83 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=26, ROI −2%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%61% of 46 at avg 52¢, ROI +3%92% of 11407 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)28% (won 31% of 13)8% (won 61% of 889)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)15% (won 57% of 7)21% (won 87% of 2410)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)30% (won 64% of 14)38% (won 95% of 4354)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)26% (won 92% of 12)33% (won 99% of 3754)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankbtnaomnibus-076daaRN1
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $23KNo $8—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $12KNo $9.1K—
Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $17KNo $2.3K—
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $18KNo $28—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Karl Friberg vs Toby Samuel
opposite sides · consensus Toby Samuel
——Karl Friberg $19Toby Samuel $15K
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $257Yes $5.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.7K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4K—Yes $169—
Chennai Open: Magda Linette vs Anastasia Zakharova
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
——Anastasia Zakharova $9Magda Linette $2.3K
Pisa SC vs. FC Südtirol: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $308Over $1.5K
Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $204Under $145
Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $112Under $64
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $3No $8
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $280K—Yes $4—
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $12KNo $36K
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton
same side · consensus Ben Shelton
——Ben Shelton $1.0KBen Shelton $24K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $25K—Yes $131—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15K—Yes $215—
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $13KYes $427—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.5K—Yes $68—
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $162Under $1.4K
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0K—Yes $59—
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
same side · consensus 1. FSV Mainz 05
——1. FSV Mainz 05 $8381. FSV Mainz 05 $33
Will FC Slovan Liberec win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $34Yes $510
Will 1. FC Slovácko win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $83Yes $344
FC Bayern München leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $11Yes $263
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $30No $72
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28—Yes $41—
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $41Yes $19