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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | donube | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 52% (6569–6087, n=12656) | 70% (712–304, n=1016) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.6M | $1.1M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #191 + pinned | PM monthly #92 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (23 of 27 open) | 75% (99 of 132 open) | 79% (135 of 170 open) | 73% (53 of 73 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 22% (won 6% of 202) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 5% (won 43% of 49) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 6% (won 53% of 55) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 67% (won 96% of 612) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.