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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Bloodmaster2FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14
Record (consensus markets)62% (13–8, n=21)71% (2547–1041, n=3588)48% (575–620, n=1195)81% (22–5, n=27)
Consensus PnL-$76K$493K$498K$328K
Tracked asPM monthly #707PM monthly #12PM monthly #17PM monthly #118
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position43% (73 of 168 open)55% (59 of 108 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won81% of 16 at avg 79¢, ROI −22%44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢0%40% (won 5% of 409)6% (won 100% of 20)4% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢0%22% (won 41% of 222)36% (won 100% of 128)13% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 80% of 5)11% (won 64% of 115)50% (won 100% of 175)21% (won 80% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up69% (won 82% of 11)27% (won 94% of 271)8% (won 100% of 28)63% (won 100% of 15)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBloodmaster2FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $46Mavericks $38K—
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
—Florida $2.0KKentucky $11K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $178Nets $9.1K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $111Timberwolves $7.6K—
Sydney: Benjamin O'Connell vs Chase Ferguson
opposite sides · consensus Chase Ferguson
—Chase Ferguson $5.3KBenjamin O'Connell $987—
Sydney: Hiroki Moriya vs Sam Ryan Ziegann
opposite sides · consensus Hiroki Moriya
—Hiroki Moriya $3.0KSam Ryan Ziegann $779—
Pistons vs. Heat
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Heat $431Pistons $1.6K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $75Mavericks $1.7K—
UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Fresno State Bulldogs
opposite sides · consensus UC Riverside Highlanders
—Fresno State Bulldogs $1.0KUC Riverside Highlanders $2—
Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers
—Saint Joseph's Hawks $90Penn Quakers $880—
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Providence Friars
opposite sides · consensus Providence Friars
—Providence Friars $405Colorado Buffaloes $4—
Sydney: Jason Kubler vs Stefan Vujic
opposite sides · consensus Jason Kubler
—Stefan Vujic $57Jason Kubler $60—
Utah vs. Arizona
same side · consensus Utah
—Arizona $24Arizona $22K—
UFC 334: Jim Miller vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Prelims)
same side · consensus Terrance McKinney
—Jim Miller $2Jim Miller $6.8K—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $1.8KCavaliers $2.5K—
Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D
same side · consensus Froglings
—1win $101win $2.3K—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $372Over $117—