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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BABELCONSTELFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)82% (321–71, n=392)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL-$551K$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #306PM monthly #22PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (2 of 3 open)67% (188 of 281 open)57% (107 of 188 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +11 pts n=255, ROI +9%
  • NFL +15 pts n=81, ROI +12%
  • NHL +11 pts n=95, ROI +23%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicGeopolitics −8 pts, n=15Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won90% of 726 at avg 80¢, ROI +9%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 3% of 29)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 69% of 42)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 79% of 103)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up76% (won 98% of 552)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

27 on the same side, 34 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBABELCONSTELFlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.5K
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $60Central Michigan $12K
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sabres
—Senators $2.8KSabres $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4KOver $2.4K
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.0KUnder $230
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $301No $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $35
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 214.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.4KUnder $118
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Nets $2.2KHornets $40
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $274Under $1.7K
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KOver $138
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Nets $1.1KHornets $125
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $1.1KGrizzlies $123
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486No $529
Spread: Thunder (-18.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $895Thunder $17
Senators vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $103Over $535
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $528Under $106
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $580Over $46
Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Jazz $296Pelicans $280
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $313Over $235
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Grizzlies $353Pacers $180
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $489Over $6
Escorpiones de Belén vs. LD Alajuelense: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $415Over $1
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Nuggets $211Raptors $130
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2Over $278
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $146Over $85
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $124Trail Blazers $99
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 8.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $171Over $47
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $181Suns $6
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $37Over $130
Spread: Jazz (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $91Jazz $65
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $100Over $2
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4Over $29
Will América de Cali win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.7KNo $2.9K
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $4.9KUnder $113
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.9KUnder $255
Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KUnder $686
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $2.7KOver $312
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $2.4KUnder $428
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5Over $1.5K
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Nets $1.3KNets $130
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $42No $1.3K
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $1.0KSpurs $186
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $101Under $1.1K
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $943Under $7
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $832Under $17
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $517Raptors $275
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $720Under $20
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
—Thunder $446Thunder $270