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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BABELCONSTELFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3649–6670, n=10319)82% (336–72, n=408)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)
Consensus PnL$2.9M-$561K$3.5M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #870PM monthly #450PM monthly #23PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus63% (20 of 32 open)100% (2 of 2 open)69% (279 of 403 open)58% (95 of 164 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +11 pts n=255, ROI +9%
  • NFL +15 pts n=81, ROI +12%
  • NHL +11 pts n=95, ROI +23%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—90% of 726 at avg 80¢, ROI +9%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 3% of 29)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 69% of 42)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—14% (won 79% of 103)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—76% (won 98% of 552)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

81 on the same side, 48 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BABELCONSTELFlaznorpRN1
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
opposite sides · consensus Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Dalibor Svrcina $19K—Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard $2.3KDalibor Svrcina $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.3K—Under $13KOver $1.5K
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $324—Under $14KUnder $609
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
opposite sides · consensus Julia Riera
Renata Zarazua $6.1K—Julia Riera $1.3KRenata Zarazua $925
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
Max Hans Rehberg $2.3K—Daniel Milavsky $692Max Hans Rehberg $4.3K
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.3K—Under $2.2KUnder $81
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)
same side · consensus Ferencvárosi TC
Ferencvárosi TC $9.6K—Ferencvárosi TC $6.5KFerencvárosi TC $3.0K
Cali: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
same side · consensus Carole Monnet
Carole Monnet $5.4K—Carole Monnet $1.4KCarole Monnet $1.7K
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.0K—Under $3.9KUnder $34
Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $710—Under $1.7KUnder $18
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $760—Under $175Under $14
Utah vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
Canadiens $27K—Utah $211—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $4.1K—Under $15K—
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $3.5KOver $9.7K
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $8.3KYes $66
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2.7KOver $3.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $3.7K——Over $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $586Over $3.3K
Villa Maria: Ignacio Monzon vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
opposite sides · consensus Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Genaro Alberto Olivieri $3.4K—Ignacio Monzon $44—
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.7KOver $470
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.1KYes $6
W35 Orlando, FL: Lavinia Tanasie vs Whitney Osuigwe
opposite sides · consensus Whitney Osuigwe
——Whitney Osuigwe $2.1KLavinia Tanasie $5
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
Bayer 04 Leverkusen $495—Olympique de Marseille $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $880Over $725
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $1.2KUnder $341
Kuopion PS vs. KAA Gent: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $216Under $1.2K
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $823Yes $224
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $466No $529
Will Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $340No $585
Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 0 - 1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $682Yes $91
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic
opposite sides · consensus Facundo Acosta
Facundo Acosta $460—Filip Misolic $313—
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen
——Greet Minnen $686Lisa Pigato $48
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $554Yes $125
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $78Yes $515
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $6Over $502
Exact Score: AC Milan 1 - 0 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $387No $89
AFC Bournemouth leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $311Yes $20
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $299Over $13
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
——Julio Cesar Porras $23Ivan Gakhov $225
W50 Huamantla: Sofia Johnson vs Jessica Hinojosa Gomez
opposite sides · consensus Sofia Johnson
——Jessica Hinojosa Gomez $17Sofia Johnson $225
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $176Over $7
Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs maybe (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Group B
opposite sides · consensus maybe
KUUSAMO.gg $50—maybe $49—
W50 Huamantla: Jo-Yee Chan vs Cadence Brace
opposite sides · consensus Cadence Brace
——Cadence Brace $60Jo-Yee Chan $36
Mjällby AIF vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $54Under $29
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $74Over $7
FC Thun vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $62Under $4