← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BABELCONSTEL | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 82% (321–71, n=392) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 53% (5952–5311, n=11263) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) |
| Consensus PnL | -$551K | $9.4M | $3.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #306 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (4 of 5 open) | 52% (12 of 23 open) | 65% (162 of 250 open) | 56% (84 of 150 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 90% of 726 at avg 80¢, ROI +9% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 3% of 29) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 69% of 42) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 79% of 103) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 98% of 552) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
26 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BABELCONSTEL | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flames vs. Kraken opposite sides · consensus Flames | Flames $13K | — | Kraken $153 | Kraken $1.9K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $7.0K | No $182K | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Kings opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Lakers $34K | — | Kings $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $30K | — | Pelicans $125 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $19K | — | Pelicans $135 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.4K | Over $2.4K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $301 | No $2.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $35 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | — | Jazz $2.3K | Pelicans $280 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $274 | Under $1.7K |
| Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $1.2K | Under $532 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $486 | No $529 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $808 | Over $46 |
| Spread: Thunder (-18.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | — | Cavaliers $819 | Thunder $17 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $632 | Under $106 |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $314 | Over $235 |
| Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $537 | Yes $1 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $323 | — | Pelicans $143 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | — | Nuggets $289 | Raptors $130 |
| Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $176 | Under $169 |
| Flames vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $8 | Under $300 |
| Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2 | Over $278 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Suns $124 | Trail Blazers $99 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Trail Blazers $188 | Suns $6 |
| Will América de Cali win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $6.6K | No $3.6K |
| Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | No $4.8K | No $5.1K |
| Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $5.5K | Under $2.7K |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $1.7K | Over $85 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $5 | Over $1.5K |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.4K | Under $17 |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | — | Spurs $1.2K | Spurs $186 |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $42 | No $1.3K |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) same side · consensus Kings | — | — | Lakers $1.3K | Lakers $3 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.2K | Under $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $101 | Under $1.1K |
| Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $575 | Under $364 |
| Spread: Lakers (-10.5) same side · consensus Kings | — | — | Lakers $819 | Lakers $17 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $720 | Under $20 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) same side · consensus Thunder | — | — | Thunder $462 | Thunder $270 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | — | — | Raptors $382 | Raptors $275 |
| Spread: Rockets (-7.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | — | Timberwolves $414 | Timberwolves $130 |
| Escorpiones de Belén vs. LD Alajuelense: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $470 | Under $20 |
| Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $238 | Under $147 |
| FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $239 | Under $46 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $10 | Yes $162 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $51 | Over $28 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $33 | Over $29 |