PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AnonymousUsername00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241RN1
Record (consensus markets)73% (4110–1508, n=5618)75% (6–2, n=8)56% (101–79, n=180)48% (12397–13316, n=25713)
Consensus PnL$459K$3.5M$3.5M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #967was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #373PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus65% (127 of 194 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position50% (71 of 143 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 5152 at avg 56¢, ROI +6%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%94% of 24403 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 76% of 270)0%7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 56% of 2518)
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 100% of 1934)0%26% (won 93% of 29)22% (won 94% of 5440)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 100% of 1765)100% (won 86% of 7)42% (won 96% of 47)36% (won 99% of 8828)
Entries 70¢ and up23% (won 100% of 1183)0%24% (won 96% of 27)31% (won 100% of 7617)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAnonymousUsername00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241RN1
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-31?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $23K——Yes $2.5K
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Daniil Medvedev $3.9K——Carlos Alcaraz $12K
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-31?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.7K——Yes $8.3K
Will AC Monza win on 2026-10-31?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $21——No $8.7K
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.6K——Yes $3.0K
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-31?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $25——No $1.8K
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Monza: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $607——Under $15
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-10-31?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $462——No $21
Will Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $333——Yes $92
Hull City AFC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $148——No $41
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $6.1K——Under $14K
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-31?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $1.7K
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-31?
same side · consensus No
No $12K——No $215
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $296——No $7.2K
Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $24——Yes $4.7K
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-10-31?
same side · consensus Yes
No $3.0K——No $1.2K
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov
same side · consensus Grigor Dimitrov
Adolfo Vallejo $930——Adolfo Vallejo $2.3K
Coventry City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $764——Under $3
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-31?
same side · consensus No
Yes $474——Yes $2
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-31?
same side · consensus No
Yes $128——Yes $286
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-31?
same side · consensus No
Yes $388——Yes $3