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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
8m1ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market43% (11687–15248, n=26935)55% (13164–10557, n=23721)64% (1101–632, n=1733)
Consensus PnL$38-$9.5M$1.9M$4.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #42was PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #109
Sides with the consensus55% (16 of 29 open)67% (4 of 6 open)72% (89 of 124 open)73% (76 of 104 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won—100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢—26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢—40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market8m1ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $361No $148Yes $2.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $788Under $1.2KUnder $13K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $14K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $34—No $1.7K—
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $9—No $1.2K—
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $185—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $257—No $4.5K—
Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs Blake Ellis
same side · consensus Bernard Tomic
—Bernard Tomic $2.5KBernard Tomic $1.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $47—No $3.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $20—Under $2.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $21Over $1.3K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $39—Over $956—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $53—Under $859—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $24—Under $721—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
No $5—No $596—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $2—Over $523—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $19—Yes $491—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5—Over $446—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $5—Under $354—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2—Under $203—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10—Yes $173—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15—Yes $112—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $5—Under $95—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 0 - 2 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8—Yes $83—