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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
768543265HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)100% (1–0, n=1)54% (361–305, n=666)46% (387–447, n=834)57% (37–28, n=65)
Consensus PnL$32K$444K$509K$440K
Tracked asPM monthly #814PM monthly #6PM monthly #19PM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position77% (126 of 163 open)64% (46 of 72 open)57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +45 pts n=29, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won50% of 2 at avg 24¢, ROI +26%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 280 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%100% of 37 at avg 58¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢50% (won 0% of 1)1% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 100% of 17)3% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 100% of 62)38% (won 100% of 105)32% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 50–70¢0%59% (won 100% of 115)49% (won 100% of 137)43% (won 100% of 16)
Entries 70¢ and up0%8% (won 100% of 15)8% (won 100% of 21)22% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market768543265HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $5.1KPacers $20K—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $7.4KOver $11K—
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $4.4KBulls $13K—
Rangers vs. Canucks
opposite sides · consensus Rangers
—Rangers $2.3KCanucks $11K—
Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $13KUnder $266—
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $6.6KUnder $5.3K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Grizzlies $2.4KPelicans $7.6K—
Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.9KUnder $2.8K—
Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.5KUnder $3.4K—
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $408Under $1.6K—
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
—Knicks $6Knicks $26K—
Cavaliers vs. Heat: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5.1KOver $4.7K—
Florida State vs. Pittsburgh
same side · consensus Pittsburgh
—Florida State $3.0KFlorida State $2.8K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $2.1KPelicans $3.4K—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $6Over $4.8K—
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
—Knicks $4.1KKnicks $397—
Anadolu Efes vs. Virtus Bologna
same side · consensus Anadolu Efes
—Anadolu Efes $3.6KAnadolu Efes $18—
Florida State vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.4KOver $789—