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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf73f7E9C6bd1f40dC045d2a93BeC3Dd4248AEE5BreakTheBankprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)38% (2995–4989, n=7984)41% (589–853, n=1442)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL$19K$7.7M$3.6M$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #974PM monthly #1PM monthly #46PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)81% (29 of 36 open)80% (12 of 15 open)64% (35 of 55 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicGeopolitics −8 pts, n=31———
Settled positions, side won73% of 1460 at avg 44¢, ROI +10%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 43% of 584)10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 84% of 242)36% (won 98% of 212)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 93% of 281)35% (won 100% of 205)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 96% of 353)20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xf73f7E9C6bd1f40dC045d2a93BeC3Dd4248AEE5BreakTheBankprimmRN1
Spread: Bears (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $4.1KBears $9.9K
Spread: Bears (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bears
——Buccaneers $1.9KBears $5.0K
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Bears $96Buccaneers $3.4K—
Spread: Bears (-13.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $29KBuccaneers $17K
Buccaneers vs. Bears
same side · consensus Bears
——Bears $4.7KBears $23K
Spread: Bears (-16.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $9.0KBuccaneers $9.2K
Spread: Bears (-17.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $12KBuccaneers $2.6K
Spread: Bears (-9.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $2.7KBuccaneers $4.5K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 58.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $6.2KOver $652
Spread: Bears (-2.5)
same side · consensus Bears
——Bears $3.5KBears $1.8K
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $94Buccaneers $5.0K
Spread: Bears (-4.5)
same side · consensus Bears
——Buccaneers $618Buccaneers $821