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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xCB3143ee858E14d0B3FE40fFeaEa78416e646B0Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighprimm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market75% (510–174, n=684)43% (129–174, n=303)62% (13–8, n=21)
Consensus PnL—$59K$117K-$16K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #814PM monthly #21PM monthly #39PM monthly #74
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position64% (94 of 146 open)71% (35 of 49 open)14% (1 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
  • NFL +51 pts n=11, ROI +48%
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%100% of 11 at avg 49¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢—34% (won 10% of 30)6% (won 100% of 9)9% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 29% of 17)42% (won 100% of 63)27% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—13% (won 55% of 11)40% (won 100% of 61)64% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up—34% (won 83% of 30)12% (won 100% of 18)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xCB3143ee858E14d0B3FE40fFeaEa78416e646B0Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighprimm
Spread: Knicks (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
—Bucks $246Knicks $30K—
Kent State vs. Bowling Green
opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green
——Kent State $8.8KBowling Green $8.9K
Ohio vs. Miami (OH): O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $15KOver $368
Spread: Western Michigan (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Western Michigan
——Western Michigan $12KAkron $112
Spread: Bowling Green (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kent State
——Kent State $2.7KBowling Green $4.1K
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Magic $47Kings $5.4K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie
opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz
—Cameron Norrie $227Taylor Fritz $4.8K—
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—76ers $853Celtics $3.4K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
—Alexander Shevchenko $365Casper Ruud $3.0K—
Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kent State
——Kent State $1.3KBowling Green $1.6K
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-25.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah State Aggies
—Utah Tech Trailblazers $101Utah State Aggies $2.6K—
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Memphis Tigers
—Vanderbilt Commodores $183Memphis Tigers $653—
Kent State vs. Bowling Green: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $587Over $146
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Kings $2Magic $451—
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Bucks $7Knicks $403—
Spread: Heat (-8.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $203Jazz $17K—
Knoxville: Alexis Galarneau vs Stefan Kozlov
same side · consensus Stefan Kozlov
—Stefan Kozlov $1.3KStefan Kozlov $15K—
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
—Bucks $258Bucks $360—
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $224Under $221—
Spread: Duquesne Dukes (-3.5)
same side · consensus Washington State Cougars
—Washington State Cougars $186Washington State Cougars $168—
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-13.5)
same side · consensus Wyoming Cowboys
—Wyoming Cowboys $8Wyoming Cowboys $289—