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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xCB3143ee858E14d0B3FE40fFeaEa78416e646B0Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighprimm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market74% (431–152, n=583)42% (124–169, n=293)62% (13–8, n=21)
Consensus PnL—$56K$172K-$16K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #814PM monthly #21PM monthly #35PM monthly #73
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (124 of 178 open)72% (26 of 36 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
  • NFL +51 pts n=11, ROI +48%
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%100% of 11 at avg 49¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢—34% (won 10% of 30)6% (won 100% of 9)9% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 29% of 17)42% (won 100% of 63)27% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—13% (won 55% of 11)40% (won 100% of 61)64% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up—34% (won 83% of 30)12% (won 100% of 18)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xCB3143ee858E14d0B3FE40fFeaEa78416e646B0Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighprimm
Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
opposite sides · consensus Elmer Moeller
—Genaro Alberto Olivieri $2.6KElmer Moeller $12K—
Spread: Western Michigan (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Western Michigan
——Western Michigan $12KAkron $109
Monastir: Dali Blanch vs Marko Topo
opposite sides · consensus Dali Blanch
—Dali Blanch $5.0KMarko Topo $464—
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Magic $49Kings $5.1K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie
opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz
—Cameron Norrie $227Taylor Fritz $4.8K—
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—76ers $627Celtics $3.3K—
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Kings $2Magic $447—
Spread: Florida Gators (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida State Seminoles
—Florida Gators $156Florida State Seminoles $215—
Spread: Heat (-8.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $203Jazz $17K—
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $220Under $217—