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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x87a718...408ceaprimmRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (1430–1597, n=3027)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)51% (28209–27250, n=55459)
Consensus PnL$133$3.7M$14.9M$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #44PM monthly #40PM monthly #34 + pinnedPM monthly #10
Sides with the consensus57% (17 of 30 open)no open consensus position55% (39 of 71 open)66% (47 of 71 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 95% of 59)10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢—40% (won 99% of 512)22% (won 94% of 5704)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 633)35% (won 99% of 9204)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 65)33% (won 100% of 8622)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x87a718...408ceaprimmRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $765—Over $1.8KUnder $20K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $21—Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $257—Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $54—Over $3.0KUnder $2.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $47—Yes $7No $2.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $5—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $229
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $20—Over $36Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $5—Under $1.4KUnder $67
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $24—Under $20Over $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $5—Under $1.1KUnder $872
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2—Under $41Under $801
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $2.4K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $34——No $1.2K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $72
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $19—No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $60No $174
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $5——Yes $154
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2——No $35
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $354——No $15K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
Yes $9——Yes $752
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $12——Under $718
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10—Yes $240—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 0 - 2 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8——Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15——Yes $52
Will Tamworth FC win on 2026-10-23?
same side · consensus No
No $8——No $46
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $39——Over $7