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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x7Ca02326c99bdf7D6d246546Fb0f259296D47344-1779887467048FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2760–1153, n=3913)48% (648–704, n=1352)84% (26–5, n=31)
Consensus PnL$0$526K$777K$341K
Tracked asPM monthly #982PM monthly #8PM monthly #19PM monthly #125
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position61% (75 of 123 open)53% (34 of 64 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=19, ROI +16%
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=564——
Settled positions, side won—42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%100% of 422 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%90% of 29 at avg 72¢, ROI +20%
Entries under 30¢—42% (won 5% of 495)5% (won 100% of 23)3% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 39% of 266)34% (won 100% of 145)10% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 134)52% (won 100% of 219)21% (won 83% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up—25% (won 94% of 296)8% (won 100% of 35)66% (won 95% of 19)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x7Ca02326c99bdf7D6d246546Fb0f259296D47344-1779887467048FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane
—Ciryl Gane $81Josh Hokit $26K—
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines
—Nevada Wolf Pack $7Utah Valley Wolverines $3.7K—
Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 8.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $510Over $231—
Spread: Islanders (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ducks
—Ducks $254Islanders $450—
Kobe: Masamichi Imamura vs Hiromasa Koyama
opposite sides · consensus Masamichi Imamura
—Masamichi Imamura $556Hiromasa Koyama $50—
Flames vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Flames $361Kings $7—
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Flames
—Flames $225Kings $15—
Sydney: Anton Shepp vs Kokoro Isomura
opposite sides · consensus Anton Shepp
—Kokoro Isomura $206Anton Shepp $14—
Flames vs. Kings: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2Over $202—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $634Texas Tech $54K—
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
—Mertens/Zhang $1.2KMertens/Zhang $9.3K—
Brisbane 3: Christian Langmo vs August Holmgren
same side · consensus August Holmgren
—August Holmgren $357August Holmgren $3.5K—
Sydney: Isaac Becroft vs Shinji Hazawa
same side · consensus Isaac Becroft
—Isaac Becroft $1.9KIsaac Becroft $438—
Sydney: Ajeet Rai vs Pavle Marinkov
same side · consensus Pavle Marinkov
—Pavle Marinkov $1.2KPavle Marinkov $861—
Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Renegades
same side · consensus Sydney Sixers
—Melbourne Renegades $336Melbourne Renegades $42—
Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 9.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $10Over $354—
Goyang vs. Wonju DB Promy
same side · consensus Goyang
—Goyang $103Goyang $157—