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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6Ccbd48BC12227b952b22f76405dF86De10Ca4BE-1779887420415FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighZzzz87
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2084–849, n=2933)48% (500–537, n=1037)67% (85–41, n=126)
Consensus PnL$0$384K$457K$305K
Tracked asPM monthly #989PM monthly #13PM monthly #21was PM monthly #666
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position54% (92 of 171 open)67% (12 of 18 open)50% (5 of 10 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +31 pts n=47, ROI +29%
  • Esports +42 pts n=13, ROI +43%
  • Soccer +26 pts n=20, ROI +23%
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 329 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%100% of 84 at avg 68¢, ROI +39%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 6% of 362)6% (won 100% of 19)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—21% (won 43% of 192)36% (won 100% of 120)15% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 103)50% (won 100% of 166)37% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 95% of 239)7% (won 100% of 24)46% (won 100% of 39)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x6Ccbd48BC12227b952b22f76405dF86De10Ca4BE-1779887420415FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighZzzz87
Japan vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.6KUnder $5.7KOver $1.1K
Japan vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $537Under $2.9KOver $4.8K
Will Japan win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $362No $131Yes $538
Will Brazil win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $6.1K—Yes $12K
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Norway
—Wales $2.1KNorway $16K—
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.3KUnder $14K—
Japan vs. Brazil: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.9K—Over $12K
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
—Portugal $1.0KDenmark $3.5K—
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs LEGION (BO3) - 1win Essence Group C
opposite sides · consensus LGD Gaming
—LEGION $9LGD Gaming $1.4K—
Will China PR win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $890—Yes $239
Will Kyrgyz Republic win on 2026-11-13?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $43—Yes $189
Big Bash League, Women: Perth Scorchers vs Adelaide Strikers
opposite sides · consensus Perth Scorchers
—Perth Scorchers $11Adelaide Strikers $20—
Seoul Thunders vs. Anyang
same side · consensus Seoul Thunders
—Anyang $300Anyang $1.4K—
M15 Monastir: Liam Gavrielides vs Julien Penzlin
same side · consensus Julien Penzlin
—Julien Penzlin $13Julien Penzlin $799—
Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D
same side · consensus 1win
—1win $4—1win $163