Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241omnibus-076daaprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (15092–15111, n=30203)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL—$3.0M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #56PM monthly #50PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position56% (118 of 209 open)0% (0 of 1 open)63% (182 of 290 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 60% of 874)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—21% (won 87% of 2384)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—38% (won 95% of 4296)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—33% (won 99% of 3716)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

24 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241omnibus-076daaprimmRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
opposite sides · consensus Jan-Lennard Struff
—Jan-Lennard Struff $945—Thiago Agustin Tirante $23K
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.6K—No $6.5K
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $6—No $6.2K
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Real Madrid CF
—Real Madrid CF $128—AEK $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6K—Over $1.5K
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $156—Over $3.0K
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
—Leyre Romero Gormaz $740—Solana Sierra $1.8K
Will FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $358—No $2.1K
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $7—Over $1.2K
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $68—No $677
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $56—Yes $636
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $59—Yes $513
Bratislava 2: Lukas Pokorny vs Toby Samuel
opposite sides · consensus Toby Samuel
—Lukas Pokorny $100—Toby Samuel $445
Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $147—Yes $141
PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $260—No $6
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2—Under $217
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $38—No $126
W75 Petange: Marie Weckerle vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Anna Siskova
—Anna Siskova $121—Marie Weckerle $43
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $7—No $77
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $34—Under $45
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $5—Under $68
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2—Under $38
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
—Lorenzo Musetti $11K—Lorenzo Musetti $53K
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $15K—Under $423
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus SK Slavia Praha
—SK Slavia Praha $11K—SK Slavia Praha $410
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
—Carlos Alcaraz $29—Carlos Alcaraz $9.1K
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
—Nishesh Basavareddy $896—Nishesh Basavareddy $8.1K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $141—Under $6.8K
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $46—No $4.4K
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $808—Over $3.4K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $209—Under $3.8K
Cali: Despina Papamichail vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Renata Zarazua
—Renata Zarazua $75—Renata Zarazua $3.0K
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $28—No $2.7K
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $104—No $2.2K
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 0 Olympiakós SFP?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.9K—Yes $66
Will PSV win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $11—No $1.1K
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $283—Yes $517
Cardiff City FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13—Under $773
KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $282—Over $14
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $61—Under $121
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $27—Under $147
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $35—Yes $104
Will RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $26—Yes $79
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)
same side · consensus Real Betis Balompié
—Real Betis Balompié $68—Real Betis Balompié $12
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: Real Betis Balompié O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $17—Under $61
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Hernan Casanova
same side · consensus Juan Manuel La Serna
—Juan Manuel La Serna $43—Juan Manuel La Serna $18