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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | RN1 | waierma | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (71–72, n=143) | no settled market | 66% (499–256, n=755) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$253K | $8 | -$130K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #146 | PM monthly #48 + pinned | PM monthly #859 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (18 of 36 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 61% (142 of 233 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 50% of 2 at avg 19¢, ROI +9% | 100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 100% (won 50% of 2) | 6% (won 100% of 12) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 0% | 13% (won 100% of 26) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 0% | 30% (won 100% of 62) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 0% | 51% (won 100% of 106) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | RN1 | waierma |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo vs. Ball State: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $14K | — | Over $1.0K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Raptors $14K | — | Celtics $736 | — |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 209.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $13K | — | Over $257 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | Bulls $8.3K | — | Spurs $25 | — |
| UMass vs. Toledo opposite sides · consensus Toledo | Toledo $1.9K | — | UMass $25 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus UMass | Toledo $865 | — | UMass $438 | — |
| Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 215.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $33 | — | Under $354 | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Pelicans | Nets $270 | — | Nets $22K | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) same side · consensus Knicks | Cavaliers $12K | — | Cavaliers $4.9K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $14K | — | Raptors $641 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $13K | — | Raptors $1.0K | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $3.8K | — | Lakers $4.4K | — |
| Magic vs. Jazz same side · consensus Magic | Jazz $3.3K | — | Jazz $2.8K | — |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-17.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan | Sacramento State $9 | — | Sacramento State $3.1K | — |
| Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 207.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $777 | — | Over $502 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-14.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Bulls $557 | — | Bulls $615 | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $391 | — | Under $515 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $31 | — | Cavaliers $500 | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $2 | — | Under $380 | — |
| Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $6 | — | Over $311 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Knicks $40 | — | Knicks $78 | — |