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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | mostlywrong | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4827–4032, n=8859) | 59% (60–42, n=102) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.2M | $7.5K | $3.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #952 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (25 of 36 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 77% (10 of 13 open) | 62% (34 of 55 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | College Football −15 pts, n=11 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 43% of 95 at avg 39¢, ROI 0% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 53% (won 12% of 50) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 11% (won 40% of 10) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 8% (won 63% of 8) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 28% (won 96% of 27) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | mostlywrong | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers vs. Bears opposite sides · consensus Bears | Bears $80K | — | Buccaneers $1.8K | Bears $21K |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Bears | — | — | Buccaneers $2.4K | Bears $5.4K |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $77 | — | — | Over $930 |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Coco Gauff | Coco Gauff $44K | — | — | Coco Gauff $58K |
| Spread: Bears (-13.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $24K | Buccaneers $16K |
| Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh | Keisuke Saitoh $9.7K | — | — | Keisuke Saitoh $26K |
| Heat vs. Kings same side · consensus Heat | Heat $78 | — | — | Heat $35K |
| Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj | Patrick Zahraj $29K | — | — | Patrick Zahraj $5.8K |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $18K | — | Over $14K | — |
| Spread: Bears (-16.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $9.0K | Buccaneers $9.2K |
| Spread: Bears (-17.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $12K | Buccaneers $2.6K |
| Spread: Bears (-9.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $1.9K | Buccaneers $3.1K |
| Spread: Bears (-14.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $90 | Buccaneers $4.6K |
| Spread: Bears (-2.5) same side · consensus Bears | — | — | Bears $3.5K | Bears $383 |
| Spread: Bears (-4.5) same side · consensus Bears | — | — | Buccaneers $421 | Buccaneers $737 |