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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465GrokEnjoyerRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3297, n=7818)53% (293–262, n=555)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)50% (20932–20600, n=41532)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$52K$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #765PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus65% (11 of 17 open)69% (9 of 13 open)64% (34 of 53 open)70% (32 of 46 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=183——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%54% of 577 at avg 53¢, ROI +1%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)30% (won 8% of 171)10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)14% (won 46% of 83)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)20% (won 59% of 116)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)36% (won 92% of 207)33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465GrokEnjoyerRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $22K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.2K—No $4.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $218
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $36Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $758Yes $130
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $70No $758——
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $192No $249
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $172
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $52KYes $2.6K——
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $25K—No $5.2K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.0K—Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $945
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $42Under $796