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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | lastminwin | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (71–72, n=143) | 75% (862–280, n=1142) | no settled market | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$253K | $95K | $0 | $8 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #95 | PM monthly #146 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (18 of 36 open) | 65% (266 of 407 open) | 43% (3 of 7 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 52% of 214 at avg 50¢, ROI +2% | 73% of 15 at avg 46¢, ROI +39% | 50% of 2 at avg 19¢, ROI +9% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 31% (won 9% of 66) | 33% (won 20% of 5) | 100% (won 50% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 26% (won 45% of 56) | 20% (won 100% of 3) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 14% (won 69% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 3) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 29% (won 97% of 63) | 27% (won 100% of 4) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
15 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | lastminwin | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 209.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $13K | Over $2.8K | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Cavaliers $12K | Knicks $59 | — | — |
| Magic vs. Jazz opposite sides · consensus Magic | Jazz $3.3K | Magic $2.6K | — | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Bucks $152 | Lakers $1.7K | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $391 | Over $1.0K | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Knicks $40 | Cavaliers $1.2K | — | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $292 | Under $50 | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $31 | Knicks $7 | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $87K | Magic $5.0K | — | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Pelicans | Nets $270 | Nets $17K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $13K | Raptors $2.7K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-3.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $14K | Raptors $1.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $14K | Raptors $971 | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-13.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $8.3K | Bulls $2.1K | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $3.8K | Lakers $5.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-3.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $5.5K | Cavaliers $2.1K | — | — |
| Counter-Strike: 9INE Academy vs Teletubisie (BO3) - United21 Group A same side · consensus Teletubisie | Teletubisie $5.3K | Teletubisie $482 | — | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-13.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Bucks $3.2K | Bucks $842 | — | — |
| Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 207.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $777 | Over $392 | — | — |
| Rangers vs. Flames same side · consensus Rangers | Rangers $1.1K | Rangers $23 | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-14.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Bulls $557 | Bulls $254 | — | — |
| Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 215.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $33 | Over $100 | — | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | Vikings $96 | Vikings $6 | — | — |