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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | Haradwaith | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4522–3297, n=7819) | 52% (6524–6030, n=12554) | 40% (3385–5154, n=8539) | 48% (14139–15621, n=29760) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $3.5M | -$465K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #279 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (12 of 17 open) | 69% (175 of 254 open) | 70% (386 of 549 open) | 61% (38 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Weather −6 pts, n=556 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 53% (won 3% of 2055) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 4% (won 35% of 170) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 5% (won 54% of 178) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 38% (won 89% of 1442) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
30 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | Haradwaith | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus KKS Lech Poznań | KKS Lech Poznań $60K | Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16K | — | Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $200K | Yes $19K | — | Yes $13K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $93K | No $47K | — | No $27K |
| Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $44K | No $44K | — | No $19K |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $128K | — | — | No $1.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $8.0K | — | Under $5 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $586 | — | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Bratislava 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kimmer Coppejans opposite sides · consensus Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Kimmer Coppejans $81 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $2.0K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia | — | PFK CSKA Sofia $1.2K | — | Panathinaikós AO $4 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $93 | — | No $935 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $466 | — | No $529 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller opposite sides · consensus Elmer Moeller | — | Elmer Moeller $387 | — | Joao Lucas Da Silva $32 |
| M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov | — | Julio Cesar Porras $60 | — | Ivan Gakhov $238 |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $108 | — | Warriors $130 |
| W75 Petange: Isis Louise Van den Broek vs Anna Siskova opposite sides · consensus Isis Louise Van den Broek | — | Anna Siskova $60 | — | Isis Louise Van den Broek $88 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $7 | — | Over $29 |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $6.9K | — | Under $11K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic same side · consensus Filip Misolic | — | Filip Misolic $4.3K | — | Filip Misolic $11K |
| AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $3.4K | — | Under $8.8K |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $5.4K | — | Under $2.4K |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $5.2K | — | No $1.2K |
| Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.4K | — | No $93 |
| FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.2K | — | Over $1.9K |
| Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5) same side · consensus Sport Lisboa e Benfica | — | KKS Lech Poznań $3.0K | — | KKS Lech Poznań $63 |
| Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Under $216 |
| Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.4K | — | No $214 |
| Celtic FC leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $456 | — | No $2.0K |
| Will FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.5K | — | No $109 |
| W50 Huamantla: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Valeriya Strakhova same side · consensus Valeriya Strakhova | — | Valeriya Strakhova $975 | — | Valeriya Strakhova $553 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $9 | — | Over $1.5K |
| AZ vs. Juventus FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $273 | — | Under $919 |
| Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $928 | — | No $210 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $764 | — | Under $229 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | — | Under $20 |
| Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5) same side · consensus GNK Dinamo Zagreb | — | GNK Dinamo Zagreb $514 | — | GNK Dinamo Zagreb $164 |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $176 | — | Over $393 |
| Will Rīga FC vs. FK Jablonec end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $26 | — | No $526 |
| Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5) same side · consensus AZ | — | AZ $339 | — | AZ $4 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $138 | — | Yes $192 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $176 | — | Under $42 |
| AZ vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | — | No $100 | — | No $11 |