← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | TheWindKnowsmyName | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (43–56, n=99) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 67% (383–189, n=572) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$536K | $779K | -$126K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #43 + pinned | — |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (11 of 21 open) | 33% (6 of 18 open) | 62% (86 of 139 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 26% (won 100% of 62) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 40% (won 100% of 95) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 33% (won 100% of 80) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | TheWindKnowsmyName |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clippers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $1.7K | Clippers $10 | Suns $11K | — |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $7.5K | Clippers $1.4K | Suns $528 | — |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $169K | Kings $53 | — | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Thunder $109K | Trail Blazers $2.9K | — | — |
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit $21K | Ciryl Gane $49K | — | — |
| Spread: Heat (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Jazz $10K | — | Heat $804 | — |
| Spread: Magic (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $4.8K | — | Magic $998 | — |
| Spread: Magic (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Kings $3.5K | Magic $418 | — |
| Spread: Suns (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Clippers $847 | Suns $476 | — |
| Spread: Heat (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Jazz $15 | — | Heat $615 | — |
| Spread: Heat (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $6 | — | Heat $406 | — |
| Spread: Magic (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | — | Kings $138 | Magic $192 | — |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | Clippers $43 | Suns $50 | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $49K | — | Heat $15K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-11.5) same side · consensus Kings | Kings $11K | — | Kings $839 | — |
| Spread: Magic (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Kings $4.5K | Kings $464 | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $45 | — | Under $297 | — |