Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-175993579546576marshFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)49% (38–40, n=78)no settled market75% (447–152, n=599)42% (124–171, n=295)
Consensus PnL-$384K—$52K$175K
Tracked asPM monthly #39PM monthly #372PM monthly #21PM monthly #36
Sides with the consensus55% (6 of 11 open)no open consensus position65% (78 of 120 open)73% (29 of 40 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21—Soccer −8 pts, n=40—
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%100% of 40 at avg 62¢, ROI +44%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)0%34% (won 10% of 30)6% (won 100% of 9)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)30% (won 100% of 12)19% (won 29% of 17)42% (won 100% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)35% (won 100% of 14)13% (won 55% of 11)40% (won 100% of 61)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)35% (won 100% of 14)34% (won 83% of 30)12% (won 100% of 18)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-175993579546576marshFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Heat (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Heat $52K—Jazz $202Jazz $17K
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Linda Noskova
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $39K—Coco Gauff $19KCoco Gauff $4.2K
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $18K——Under $742
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Michael Zheng
opposite sides · consensus Giles Hussey
Giles Hussey $7.9K——Michael Zheng $4.4K
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
——Magic $47Kings $5.4K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie
opposite sides · consensus Taylor Fritz
——Cameron Norrie $227Taylor Fritz $4.8K
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
——76ers $871Celtics $3.3K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
——Alexander Shevchenko $373Casper Ruud $3.0K
Lima: Alessandro Rubini vs Franco Roncadelli
opposite sides · consensus Franco Roncadelli
——Franco Roncadelli $2.3KAlessandro Rubini $59
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
——Kings $2Magic $451
Spread: Florida Gators (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida State Seminoles
——Florida Gators $203Florida State Seminoles $215
Heat vs. Jazz
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $9.4K—Heat $558—
Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5)
same side · consensus Kent State
Kent State $192——Kent State $1.2K
Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $220Under $217
Spread: Duquesne Dukes (-3.5)
same side · consensus Washington State Cougars
——Washington State Cougars $179Washington State Cougars $162
Ohio vs. Miami (OH)
same side · consensus Miami (OH)
Miami (OH) $22—Miami (OH) $37—