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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954652HAEFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3325, n=7861)75% (851–285, n=1136)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)48% (14146–15606, n=29752)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$10K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #974PM monthly #11PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus63% (15 of 24 open)50% (1 of 2 open)76% (181 of 237 open)53% (40 of 75 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%88% of 732 at avg 74¢, ROI +11%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)2% (won 44% of 16)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)7% (won 54% of 50)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)22% (won 84% of 164)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)69% (won 94% of 502)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

26 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954652HAEFlaznorpRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $141K—Carlos Alcaraz $4.3KTaylor Fritz $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.6K
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13K—Under $238—
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.2K—No $1.8K—
Bristol Rovers FC vs. Cambridge United FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.5K—Under $936—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.9K—No $494—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $600Over $3.3K
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
——Aidan Mayo $3.8KMax Hans Rehberg $82
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.9KUnder $57
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $471No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
——Diletta Cherubini $287Ipek Oz $680
Gaziantep FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $567Under $8
Gaziantep FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $430Under $2
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs. NK Rudeš: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $348Under $41
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
——Celtics $222Hornets $124
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
——76ers $188Cavaliers $107
Costa do Sauipe: Juan Carlos Prado vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
opposite sides · consensus Juan Carlos Prado
——Camilo Ugo Carabelli $3Juan Carlos Prado $268
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $110Over $75
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $31No $12
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $19KNo $20K
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.8KNo $15K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lucrezia Stefanini
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
——Anastasia Zakharova $5.0KAnastasia Zakharova $9.4K
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K—No $3.4K—
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.1KNo $2.8K
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.5KOver $2.9K
Will Bursaspor win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.3KNo $1.4K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Sariyer SK leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $942No $729
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Julia Riera
same side · consensus Julia Riera
——Julia Riera $28Julia Riera $1.4K
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $333No $841
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.0KUnder $158
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
——Juan Bautista Torres $106Juan Bautista Torres $1.0K
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
same side · consensus Dalibor Svrcina
——Zsombor Piros $274Zsombor Piros $774
Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $450Yes $408
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Kings
——Kings $361Kings $111
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $139Yes $192
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
same side · consensus Francesco Maestrelli
——Carlo Alberto Caniato $18Carlo Alberto Caniato $300
W50 Huamantla: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Victoria Rodriguez
same side · consensus Victoria Rodriguez
——Victoria Rodriguez $10Victoria Rodriguez $239
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $177Under $42
Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $146Under $2
Will HUS Agadir win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $65No $11
Exact Score: Antalyaspor 1 - 0 Bursaspor?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $36Yes $17