Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
nigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18Secondhandvinyl
Record (consensus markets)54% (345–290, n=635)59% (40–28, n=68)91% (163–17, n=180)
Consensus PnL$403K$532K$897
Tracked asPM monthly #105PM monthly #15 + pinnedPM monthly #981
Sides with the consensus53% (73 of 138 open)56% (10 of 18 open)100% (4 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
  • NBA +45 pts n=29, ROI +40%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38%100% of 163 at avg 91¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 33% of 73)3% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 56% of 125)33% (won 100% of 13)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢43% (won 69% of 226)44% (won 100% of 17)3% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 98% of 96)21% (won 100% of 8)94% (won 100% of 154)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketnigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18Secondhandvinyl
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Hawks $7.7KBulls $340K—
Thunder vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Clippers $488Thunder $254K—
Hawks vs. Bulls
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Hawks $285Bulls $233K—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
Bilibili Gaming $1.1KGen.G $93K—
Cavaliers vs. Heat
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Cavaliers $3Heat $41K—
Spread: Heat (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Cavaliers $615Heat $21K—
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $9.3KThunder $7.8K—
Warriors vs. Spurs
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Spurs $8.3KWarriors $2.3K—
Will Guatemala win on 2026-11-13?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $64—No $1.0K
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks
same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $333KLouisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $209K—
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $60KGrizzlies $201K—
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
same side · consensus Team Falcons
Team Falcons $978Team Falcons $113K—
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Gen.G $326Gen.G $43K—
Will Canada win on 2026-11-13?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $28K—Yes $952