← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| fantasy7788 | nigiri99 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | Secondhandvinyl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (12–11, n=23) | 54% (345–290, n=635) | 59% (40–28, n=68) | 91% (163–17, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $567K | $403K | $532K | $897 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #37 | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #15 + pinned | PM monthly #981 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 54% (63 of 116 open) | 50% (6 of 12 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54% | 66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% | 100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38% | 100% of 163 at avg 91¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 100% of 1) | 14% (won 33% of 73) | 3% (won 100% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 54% (won 100% of 7) | 24% (won 56% of 125) | 33% (won 100% of 13) | 1% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 31% (won 100% of 4) | 43% (won 69% of 226) | 44% (won 100% of 17) | 3% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 100% of 1) | 18% (won 98% of 96) | 21% (won 100% of 8) | 94% (won 100% of 154) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | fantasy7788 | nigiri99 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | Secondhandvinyl |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Clippers opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Clippers $488 | Thunder $267K | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Gen.G | — | Bilibili Gaming $1.1K | Gen.G $93K | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $8.9K | Thunder $8.2K | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $8.3K | Warriors $2.8K | — |
| Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | — | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $333K | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $209K | — |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs same side · consensus Team Falcons | — | Team Falcons $978 | Team Falcons $136K | — |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5) same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | Gen.G $326 | Gen.G $43K | — |