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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| googleplay | guilttrip | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (6–6, n=12) | 86% (6–1, n=7) | 54% (361–305, n=666) | 46% (385–445, n=830) |
| Consensus PnL | $423K | $13K | $444K | $502K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #807 | PM monthly #6 | PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 28% (27 of 96 open) | 77% (125 of 162 open) | 68% (44 of 65 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 71% of 7 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 280 at avg 51¢, ROI +44% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 29% (won 0% of 2) | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 6% (won 100% of 17) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 62) | 38% (won 100% of 105) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 83% (won 100% of 5) | 57% (won 100% of 4) | 59% (won 100% of 115) | 49% (won 100% of 137) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 14% (won 100% of 1) | 8% (won 100% of 15) | 8% (won 100% of 21) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | googleplay | guilttrip | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | — | — | Knicks $5.1K | Pacers $20K |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $7.5K | Over $11K |
| Spread: Hawks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | — | Hawks $4.4K | Bulls $13K |
| Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $6.6K | Under $5.3K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | — | Grizzlies $2.5K | Pelicans $7.6K |
| Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $8.0K | Under $256 |
| Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $4.0K | Under $2.8K |
| Hawks vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.5K | Under $3.4K |
| Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $408 | Under $1.6K |
| Will Kuwait vs. Syria end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $3 | — | No $135 |
| Spread: Knicks (-8.5) same side · consensus Pacers | — | — | Knicks $6 | Knicks $26K |
| Cavaliers vs. Heat: O/U 235.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $5.1K | Over $4.8K |
| Florida State vs. Pittsburgh same side · consensus Pittsburgh | — | — | Florida State $3.0K | Florida State $2.8K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | — | — | Pelicans $2.1K | Pelicans $3.4K |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $6 | Over $4.7K |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) same side · consensus Pacers | — | — | Knicks $4.1K | Knicks $397 |
| Florida State vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 51.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $1.4K | Over $789 |