Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ojgprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)56% (741–582, n=1323)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$62K$3.6M$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87was PM monthly #998PM monthly #46PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus55% (16 of 29 open)100% (6 of 6 open)85% (11 of 13 open)68% (32 of 47 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%—99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)—41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)—49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ojgprimmRN1
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $295—Buccaneers $92Buccaneers $2.4K
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $91KCoco Gauff $4.6K—Coco Gauff $58K
Spread: Bears (-13.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $28K—Buccaneers $8.5KBuccaneers $16K
Penguins vs. Ducks
same side · consensus Ducks
Ducks $34KDucks $1.4K—Ducks $3.5K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.7K—Over $16K—
Spread: Bears (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bears
Buccaneers $1.5K—Bears $10K—
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $7.6K——Over $3.4K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $7.9KUnder $2.8K
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $5.4K—Buccaneers $407—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Over $1.7K
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
Patrick Zahraj $65K——Patrick Zahraj $5.8K
Heat vs. Kings
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $2.7K—Heat $31K
Spread: Heat (-9.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $19K——Heat $1.5K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $6.8K—Over $12K—
Spread: Bears (-16.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $9.0KBuccaneers $9.7K
Spread: Bears (-17.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $12KBuccaneers $2.6K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 58.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $13KOver $579
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $360